Hello Crazyg.
Looks like your opponent doing axis MED campaign, but
slightly wrong in my opinion.
He didn't secured Spain and Gibraltar or Malta first of all, so he don't have supply points to have good forces in africa. And now he tries to advance with Italians, which are 0 tech level troops (very unrelyable) and even don't get superior numbers. (By the way, do you know, that this patch of brown land near your tank works like river, providing 50% attack penalty - so I advice you to place defence line one row to the east, from where you marked ).
Why did you evacuate Solonica fortress, its spare PPs for Britain pool and it is casualties for axis, if they try to assault. There are some spare garrisons in the middle east, it was better to use one of them, I think.
But still attack of Greece by ground can lead to very long and hard campaing for axis(because of rugged greek terrain), especially with this bulgarian weak units.
About barbarossa, it can be as late as september in fact, but if your opponent planning to lauch it earlier, he can rebase all this planes in 1-2 turns, so don't relax
