Wolf001 wrote: Mon Mar 13, 2023 4:11 pm
Should the CP player suffer a plenty if playing Moltke-Schlieffen Plan and goes for attacking Russia instead? At the risk of upsetting Umeu that was the strategy played against me in our current game. Russia was attacked the turn before entry and I lost Warsaw and Umeu also unlocked the two Austro-Hungarian events.
As Belgium wasn't invaded I'm rather limited in what I can do. I'm not sure if the Entente events related to Belgium are available in the Moltke-Schlieffen as they are in Aufmarsch Ost. At the moment I'm not seeing any downside at least in MP going after Russia first in Moltke-Schlieffen. Umeu has already split my forces in two with taking of Minsk before winter 1914.
Of course in 1915 the advatage can change if Italy joins me and Umeu has left Serbia alone for now.
well, Britain warned me to stay out of Belgium, and I obliged
Seriously though, why would I be upset?

I made this point to Robo already, and he said "and not use your generals? No thanks." To which I said it's easy to still use the generals without having them in the front line, just stick 'm on a reserve.
I didn't really do that in our game, I only brought Moltke, as it's a Moltke goes East strategy, so he has to come of course. But I left Hausen, and more importantly, Kluck, on the west front. Otherwise the collapse might've been even faster.
So let's take a look at the downsides of Moltke goes East
1) Can't use generals in attacking or defending aka frontline units without getting insubordination (this in itself doesn't do much, but it does mean you lose the bonus for 2 turns, which is not insignificant, but also not a massive disadvantage. Getting Hindenburg unlocked early definitely mitigates some of it, as well as getting Kronprinz.
2) You will not get any of the diplo points associated with invading Belgium and France succesfully, nor any of the alignment boosts on Italy for doing so. This is pretty big.
3) In that same vein, at turn 12, France will be defended succesfully, causing 2 collapse points for germany. It also massively swings Italy towards Entente. This is probably the biggest weakness of the strategy.
4) Focusing on Russia means that you're unlikely to make much progress in Serbia, though there are ways to fight in Russia and Serbia both, though it'll slow down progress compared to focusing only on 1 front.
5) Not invading Belgium means you won't get any of those valuable north-sea ports, and thus your naval reach is greatly dimnished. This might actually be the 2nd biggest draw back of the strategy.
but what do you stand to gain?
1) Engalnd stays out of the war and the narrow front full of forts neutralizes France for almost a full year, this is massive obviously, especially if the Entente player used events such Warning, naval review or Army of Africa to defend.
2) You can overwhelm Russia and cripple them before they can even get industrial warfare. Now what I had never considered, is that you can actually invade Russia already on t4 or t5, but another player did this to me and I realized how powerful it is to seize the iniative against Russia. I'm not sure whether going on t4 or t5 is best, but it's better than to wait for Russia to attack first.
3) it takes off pressure from Turkey. I didn't go down this route in our game, but it's possible to send Goeben to Istanbul and have Turkey join the war like 5-8 turns before Britain does (especially if you use Shelling of Sevastopol). Turkey can then prepare fully for the British war entry, and also put pressure on Russia who can't even defend their mainland, let alone the caucasus.
4) effectively fighting on only 1 front allows Germany but also Austria to conserve manpower and save up some PP for later in the game.
So compared to Ostmars, what does Moltke goes east offer? Not that much beyond the surprise value. Ostmars gives you a better army in the east, though Russia is better prepared to meet you in the sense that in Moltke goes east, there's 1 or 2 turns where Russia doesn't have enough war effort to sustain their army. But you won't suffer most of the drawbacks in Ostmars.
So the main problem is just the same problem, Russia's weakness cripples entente in MP.
However, Britain and France have received huge buffs, so I don't know if knocking out Russia in 1914 basically is enough to win. There's only 1 way to find out.
But I do have some suggestions:
1) The Tsar demanding his generals to invade Prussia should hinge on Belgium being invaded, as well as Serbia not having surrendered.
2) scorched earth related event
3) industrial warfare unlocking a few turns earlier if Russia is invaded before they attack themselves (this is already how it works for the AI), This is really powerful though, so I'm not sure if this is the best way.
4) Warsaw just always needs an army corps