Now those are great posts gents, it certainly explores the options and depth of FOG much better than labelling views as bollocks
So, after checking the lists etc and considering the comments above............
The only army which has a chance to win is a HF impact type thingy, which it would seem has about about 25% chance of beating individual BG's.... the other 75% of the BGs go in Roman favour??............ and the roman swarms I saw were nto battle lines but lots of little BG;s spread out and mutually supporting........... so no benefit from having generals in big units rather than small..........
suppose its reasonably even in melee, as the Romans get the POA but will have less bases assuming they havent used the drilled MU4 to roll the barbarians flank...........
Hmmmm, overall, I still think the Romans edge it comfortably over the barbarians types due to the control........ and of course the barbarians have to kill 10 units to win, in less than 3-5hrs ............unlikey against all that drilled manouvering and terrain.
The BIG issue though, is even accepting that the HF impact has the edge and can take the Romans down in the open, in reality the HF impact barbarian effort may not compete in the overall tourney, so theres not a lot of them about, certainly theres wasnt at Britcon, so if the only army the swarms fear is not used then in reality the swarms have little to fear.
Hopefully FOG isnt about which army beats which army, but more that most armies have a reasonable chance against most armies, so how about this for a puzzler...........
do most armies have a reasonable chance of beating the swarm?
Cos if they dont, then the swarm is the army of choice!
Not sure roman swarm will dissappear due to getting draws, as most tourney players want a game and will go for a win rather than a dull draw, I think some of the superior tourney players call these 'bunnys', so theyre happy to draw against threatening armies and then tonk the 'bunnys' to win the tourney...............at least in the UK anyway.
Nope, on the evidence to date, I think the swarms here to stay.............
bollocks indeed
jon