Duke68 wrote:hammy wrote:Against average pike things are a lot closer and the legionaries are definitely best off not giving the pike a fair fight. Against poor pike which is where this thread started there really is no need for the legionaries to be clever, superior legions will cut poor pike to pieces.
Having tryed it a few times I cannot agree at 100%.
Things are not so simple, first of all we are talking about percentage of victory that are true only in statistic, but statistic only works on large number of dice, in an impact or melee we could use only 2 or 4 dice per side and there's no sense in calling in statistic percentage on such few dice.
Remind me to play a few games of poker with you sometime
You can never be certain with statistics but you can accurately calculate the probablility that one side or the other will win. The problem with poor pike vs superior legionaries is that the reroll even on 2 dice does significantly swing the chances. The legions really want to hit with 2 bases and get 4 dice as that makes things more likely to go with the better quality. Once the pikes lose the impact there is a very high chance they will be disrupted and once they are disrupted they are no longer at a + in melee, have less dice to roll and are still dissadvantaged on rerolls or in other words they are toast.
In such case luck work better than statistic so every result could arise like the superior legionaires being badly beated by poor pikemans.
I didn't say it was a certaintly but if you try the fight in question say 20 times then at most the poor pike will win 2 or 3 times.
Let's examine another case, 8 average pike (protected, undrilled) in 4 ranks vs 4 average legionair (armoured, drilled) in 2 ranks, they cost exactly the same.
In impact they fight at 0 poa but in melee the pikes get a + (if the impact was inconclusive), but pikes have other advantage: they are 8 stand so they have to get 3 hits to get morale malus and losing 1 stand has less impact on efficiency, romans only have 4 stand so 2 hits counts for morale and if they lost 1 stand are more or less toasted.
I agree that at impact the pike and legions are on the same POA and have the same chances of hitting so it is a totally even fight in terms of hits.
You have however missed a significant part of the rules on the 1HP3B rule in that the fourth rank of any formation does not count towards bases needed for 1HP3B so 2 hits will put a -1 on the pike in exactly the same way it does on the legionaries.
Also while the fight is even the CT after the fight is not. If the legions win which will happen 35% or so of the time then the pike will be testing at an extra -1 for facing impact foot and an extra -1 is not to be sniffed at.
Pike are good against legionaries but then historically they were. Where is the problem? Poor pike are much cheaper per frontage than legionaries but are much worse, average pike cost the same as average legionaries and their combat power is similar.
The worse problem is that 40pts of pike could stand frontally more or less against a lot more of enemy points (every kind of legionaires, heavy cavalry, elephants and so on), being so combact-effective and cheaper left the player with a lot of points to spend in other elite units that could match or outclass their enemy counterparts.
I am sorry, poor quality pike are really not that good. They are very vulnerable to missiles (assuming you play the HP3B rule correctly), being poor is almost the same as minus half a POA and when they die they are just as dead as any other BG.
In other words armies that could use large number of pikes (seleucid or tolemaic for example) have an advantage over other armies because essentially they have a strong and cheaper way to hold the centre of the board while the rest of their elite units dismantle the enemies flanks.
I dissagree, average pikes cost almost as much per frontage as the best legionaries, 24 points per base frontage is a lot and can still be beaten by both legionaries and armoured spearmen.
I don't mean that they are unbeatable (a smart opponent could use some trick), but certainly they are easy to use and difficult to deal with (for an average opponent).
You really don't need tricks to beat pikes. Either ignore them if they clump together or use overlaps against them if they don't.
So far there have been very few tournaments that have been won by pike armies, infact in open tournaments pikes may be a touch underpowered.