Assaults in 0.20

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mkjhartmann
Corporal - 5 cm Pak 38
Corporal - 5 cm Pak 38
Posts: 45
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2010 3:36 am

Assaults in 0.20

Post by mkjhartmann »

It seems to me like the assault success indication is now completely off. I have had 8 assaults with a success expectation of over 80% rejected in a row. The statistical likelyhood is very low for that. I used to never to experience this. Maybe it is just REALLY bad luck, but it seems almost as though the values are not inverted.

Thanks.

Mike
IainMcNeil
Site Admin
Site Admin
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Re: Assaults in 0.20

Post by IainMcNeil »

Nothing has changed on this. Are you sure it was 8 in a row or you only remember the times it went wrong? The chance of 8 80% chances failing in a row is about 1 in 500,000.
mkjhartmann
Corporal - 5 cm Pak 38
Corporal - 5 cm Pak 38
Posts: 45
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2010 3:36 am

Re: Assaults in 0.20

Post by mkjhartmann »

I am aware of the long odds. Which is what surprised me. And yes, it may have been a slight exaggeration, but it was very unusual. I will try it out again, and if the problem recurs post here.

Thanks for responding Ian.

Mike
Gerry4321
Administrative Corporal - SdKfz 232 8Rad
Administrative Corporal - SdKfz 232 8Rad
Posts: 170
Joined: Thu Nov 22, 2012 4:20 pm

Re: Assaults in 0.20

Post by Gerry4321 »

I think I have seen a few of these that surprised me. A German squad with 3/5 or 4/5 versus a 1/5 Russian unit. IIRC (sorry did not write it down as it happened but I remember being surprised).
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