Reference supporting GS design decision: http://forum.axishistory.com/viewtopic. ... 1&t=143997NotaPacifist wrote:No Iceland or Greenland for the Axis
The above reference provides an excellent discussion and analysis of the German potential for invading Iceland. This thread is 17 pages long and was started on 21 June 2003 and was locked on 30 September 2008. Though one member keeps trying to push his opinion that Germany could have successfully invaded Iceland, my opinion after reading through the thread was that this was not historically feasible. Hence, our design decision to script the activation of Iceland as an allied base in GS. I've quote on post below that for me summarizes this and supports our design decision.
Also, if one buys that the potential for a German invasion of Iceland is not historically credible then I think it's a fairly easy extension that the potential for a German invasion of Greenland or the Azores is too.
Reference Post: http://forum.axishistory.com/viewtopic. ... 8#p1252698
phylo_roadking wrote:Okay - here's the plot so far....
Ju52 land-based aircraft can ONLY land on the eastern coast of Iceland. There are surveyed areas suitable for airfields - but none extant. No land cleared of fencing and obstructions, levelled, or consolidated. No blind or night landing aids of any sort. To land THERE - airstrips need to be created. To do THIS means either using what earthmoving equipment is available in Iceland, mostly around Reykjavik and having to be captured and MOVED to Eastland...or by unloading from cargo ships.
These cargo ships, like all OTHER maritime elements of the plan, need to evade the RN forces patrolling off Norway, they need to avoid the several dozen ships of the North Sea Picket, they need to avoid observation by all the RAF Coastal Command maritime patrols over the North Sea. And any aircraft flying back and forth between the UK and Allied forces off Norway crossing the German flotilla's path. And all auxiliairy naval vessels moving back and forth between the UK and Norway, crossing their path. And all RN and french submarine patrols in support of the forces off Norway...
To capture Reykjavik, the Germans have NINE long-range Condors - each carrying 26 armed troops. That means they have to capture the island's capital, and take possession of ALL the materiel they require and start moving it overloand or start loading it on coasters - with 234 men. And keep the "restless natives" under control, take control of ALL the governmental infrastructure, police locals forced to work etc. - and provide police functions in and around Reykjavik.
Once several MORE days are expended levelling and otherwise preparing airstrips in Eastland after enough equipment arrives, Ju52s can begin flying in - with minimal loads due to the extra fuel tankage they require to actually get there. Here any fuel they carry as cargo has to be put into their OWN tanks to get them BACK to Norway. More fuel CAN of course be landed from any of the cargo vessels that SURVIVE to unload - remembering how many of the "milchcow" freighters actually made it to locations like Narvik....in the case of Narvik NONE. No extra ammunition, no uniforms, no stores of ANY kind for the germans there apart from what they arrived with. So LITTLE they had to dress the exhausted survivors of the KM destroyers in looted NORWEGIAN uniforms!!! And so little ammunition that after 24 hours the German commander had to order his troops NOT to shoot at attacking FAA Swordfish bombers.
Remember - if none of the ships loaded with earthmoving equipment make it - the Germans are depending on what they find IN Iceland. If they don't find or can't transport anything IN Iceland - they're dependent on the ships getting through. Ditto the bunkered fuel the Germans expect to capture at Reykjavik, having flown all the way across the island without ANYONE spotting them and telephoning the capital to report a formation of nine four-engined aircraft crossing the island...
Petrol and aviation fuel landed from cargo vessels will be in drums; drums need to be manhandled and loaded on any available vehicles - and this is SLOW. Likewise - at the makeshift airfields, refuelling aircraft is slow because it has to be handpumped into the grounded Ju-52s...
There MAY be more troops and LIGHT stores ashore in Eastland from Ju-52/3m Wasser floatplanes - but NO heavy cargo. Why not? Simple. Seaplanes have this really MAJOR problem with tying up beside dock quays and using cranes or winches to unload heavier stores and equipment. To take the simplest first - Ju-52s have SIDE doors, cranes and woinches have this horrible habit of working off horizontal decks, or cargo hold decks. They aren't very good at reaching down and IN to aircraft fuselages...
However - the MAIN issue is that seaplanes don't tie up at dock quays for unloading. Why not? It's called WINGS. They get in the way. The ONLY sort of quay or pier a seaplane can use is one that floats on the surface of the water OR that is BELOW the level of their cargo doors. The only boats that can unload seaplanes at rest are small boats that can approach right up to the rear of the fuselage WITHOUT being so big as to have to stand off so as not to hit wing or tailplane. Or flat lighters. NO cranes or winches on them either. And all cargo has to be manhandled. This is a historical problem that has affected ALL use of seaplanes or flyingboats to carry cargo of ANY size or type except for people. from the large suitcases and steamer trunks of flyingboat passengers in the 1930s to the RAF using Sunderlands to fly supplies into Berlin in 1948. it ALL has to be manportable and loaded and unloaded by man-power.
Even if all this works - it takes DAYS. Days move fuel and heavy equipment from Reykjavik. Days to prepare airstrips in Eastland for refueling. Therefore days before German troops begin arriving in quantity. Meanwhile in Norway, cargo ships have to be loaded by Norwegian stevedores and labourers with stores and equipment and troops...and have to never talk about what they see or overhear. Ditto the people being forced to work at Vaernes, they need to never hear a single accidental conversation. The plan requires a full military expedition to be readied and mounted inside an unpacified country with the forced labour of people who's relatives you're busy killing a few hundred miles away at most. There is of course NO chance that anyone will see or hear anything that will be of use to the Allies...
And when the Ju-52s get there - they have to be refueled by HAND - this operation doubles and triples the turnaround time for Ju-52s - as happened a year later in greece during the 2nd and thrid days of the Crete invasion. Remember, to reach iceland, a Ju-52 takes at least 5 hours flying time; then a 2-3 hour turnround...AND daylight flying only, no blind flying aids of any kind, neither in position in Norway yet, NOR with the range to reach Iceland. A Ju-52 will only make ONE outward OR return flight every day. And on the 25th or 26th they have to return to Germany for Fall Gelb....
Meanwhile - with dozens of freighters leaving for Iceland from Norwegian ports, and dozens if not hundreds of aircraft being serviced and mustered for the operation, the Germans will be sufffering from the lack of transport they historically relied on in the Norwegian campaign.
And you seriously expect the British to just sit and do nothing??? They can invade Iceland faster that the Germans can - even from a standing start. They have troops already at sea and ready for amphibious assault...especially the forces sitting off Narvik for two weeks longer than planned. Not to mention the forces that historically were NEVER disembarked at all, just left Britain, sailed to Norway, floated around a bit and came home.
Any German staff officer seriously suggesting an operation with SO many individual weaknesses, either/or redundancies and point-failures would be sent to the Russian front...if there HAD been one in 1940!!!





