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Assaults in 0.20
Posted: Fri Aug 29, 2014 11:04 pm
by mkjhartmann
It seems to me like the assault success indication is now completely off. I have had 8 assaults with a success expectation of over 80% rejected in a row. The statistical likelyhood is very low for that. I used to never to experience this. Maybe it is just REALLY bad luck, but it seems almost as though the values are not inverted.
Thanks.
Mike
Re: Assaults in 0.20
Posted: Sat Aug 30, 2014 7:55 am
by IainMcNeil
Nothing has changed on this. Are you sure it was 8 in a row or you only remember the times it went wrong? The chance of 8 80% chances failing in a row is about 1 in 500,000.
Re: Assaults in 0.20
Posted: Sat Aug 30, 2014 3:29 pm
by mkjhartmann
I am aware of the long odds. Which is what surprised me. And yes, it may have been a slight exaggeration, but it was very unusual. I will try it out again, and if the problem recurs post here.
Thanks for responding Ian.
Mike
Re: Assaults in 0.20
Posted: Sat Aug 30, 2014 5:08 pm
by Gerry4321
I think I have seen a few of these that surprised me. A German squad with 3/5 or 4/5 versus a 1/5 Russian unit. IIRC (sorry did not write it down as it happened but I remember being surprised).