Posted: Fri Oct 01, 2010 11:27 am
As I obviously had the commanded shot interaction wrong, I reran the numbers for Breitenfeld 1631.
Early 30YW German Catholic,
Kuerassiere BG of 4 Horse, Heavily Armoured, Superior, Impact Pistol, Melee Pistol
Reiter BG of 4 Horse, Unarmoured, Average, Carbine, Melee Pistol
100 points.
Early 30YW Swedish,
laetta ryttare BG of 4 Determined Horse, Armoured, Average, Impact Pistol, Melee Pistol
Commanded Shot BG of 2 Medium Foot, Unarmoured, Average, Salvo, Salvo
Troop Commander
111 points.
All battle groups are Core Troops, even if there are different options available.
If I remember rightly this must be close to what I faced in 2 of my 3 games against Early 30YW German Catholic at Britcon 2010.
The troops are deployed with the laetta ryttare and Kuerassiere hard against the table edge, every BG in two ranks other than the laetta ryttare who are deployed 3 bases in the front rank and 1 in the second rank. As shown below, L is laetta ryttare, C is Commanded shot, T is Troop Commander, K is Kuerassiere, and R is Reiter. Germans facing down the page, Swedes facing up.
KKRR
KKRR
LLLC
L C
T
Germans advance to just outside Salvo range (>6 MU). Swedes advance to just within salvo range (6MU). The Swedes move the TC to the Commanded shot. If they fail a CT thay are in trouble.
Commanded Shot get one dice at 5 against the Reiter. 1 in 3 of a hit, 1 in 6 of a death roll (no CT is possible as can't do 1 per 3), so 1 in 18 of a base loss.
Germans advance to within 3MU.
Reiters: at the Commanded shot, 2 dice at 5s. 1 or more hits would cause a CT at evens. 2 hits (1 in 9) would require a death roll on a 1 (1 in 54 overall); at the laetta ryttare, 1 dice at 5s. Can't cause a CT but same 1 in 18 of causing a failed death roll as the other way.
Commanded Shot get one dice at 5 against the Reiter. 1 in 3 of a hit, 1 in 6 of a death roll (no CT is possible as can't do 1 per 3), so 1 in 18 of a base loss. Cumulative 1 in 324 chance of 2 base losses and autobreak for the Reiters, less than 1 in 9 of a single base loss.
Assuming no loss so far.
Swedes now have a choice. Stand and risk the Command Shot getting fragmented by shooting - or charge. As the Reiters don't have Impact Pistol, charge looks right.
Impact
laetta ryttare are 4 dice at 4s vs Kuerassiere who are 4 dice at 4s, re-rolling 1s.
laetta ryttare are 2 dice at 4s vs Reiters who are 2 dice at 5s
Commanded shot are 2 dice at 4s vs Reiters who are 2 dice at 4s.
That looks quite even though skewed distribution could put the laetta ryttare, or Commanded shot in trouble. If the Reiters lose they will get an added -1 on the CT for losing to the Salvo.
Assuming that everyone survives the Impact with no ill effects, the Melee looks like this.
laetta ryttare are 4 dice at 5s vs Kuerassiere who are 4 dice at 4s, re-rolling 1s.
laetta ryttare are 2 dice at 4s vs Reiters who are 2 dice at 4s
Commanded shot are 2 dice at 4s vs Reiters who are 2 dice at 5s.
If the Commanded shot are disrupted the last line becomes
Commanded shot are 2 dice at 4s vs Reiters who are 2 dice at 4s.
If the Commanded shot are fragmented the last line becomes
Commanded shot are 1 dice at 5s vs Reiters who are 2 dice at 4s.
This is why the Swedes have to charge in, I believe. Swedes are not 100% with Commanded Shot.
Early 30YW German Catholic,
Kuerassiere BG of 4 Horse, Heavily Armoured, Superior, Impact Pistol, Melee Pistol
Reiter BG of 4 Horse, Unarmoured, Average, Carbine, Melee Pistol
100 points.
Early 30YW Swedish,
laetta ryttare BG of 4 Determined Horse, Armoured, Average, Impact Pistol, Melee Pistol
Commanded Shot BG of 2 Medium Foot, Unarmoured, Average, Salvo, Salvo
Troop Commander
111 points.
All battle groups are Core Troops, even if there are different options available.
If I remember rightly this must be close to what I faced in 2 of my 3 games against Early 30YW German Catholic at Britcon 2010.
The troops are deployed with the laetta ryttare and Kuerassiere hard against the table edge, every BG in two ranks other than the laetta ryttare who are deployed 3 bases in the front rank and 1 in the second rank. As shown below, L is laetta ryttare, C is Commanded shot, T is Troop Commander, K is Kuerassiere, and R is Reiter. Germans facing down the page, Swedes facing up.
KKRR
KKRR
LLLC
L C
T
Germans advance to just outside Salvo range (>6 MU). Swedes advance to just within salvo range (6MU). The Swedes move the TC to the Commanded shot. If they fail a CT thay are in trouble.
Commanded Shot get one dice at 5 against the Reiter. 1 in 3 of a hit, 1 in 6 of a death roll (no CT is possible as can't do 1 per 3), so 1 in 18 of a base loss.
Germans advance to within 3MU.
Reiters: at the Commanded shot, 2 dice at 5s. 1 or more hits would cause a CT at evens. 2 hits (1 in 9) would require a death roll on a 1 (1 in 54 overall); at the laetta ryttare, 1 dice at 5s. Can't cause a CT but same 1 in 18 of causing a failed death roll as the other way.
Commanded Shot get one dice at 5 against the Reiter. 1 in 3 of a hit, 1 in 6 of a death roll (no CT is possible as can't do 1 per 3), so 1 in 18 of a base loss. Cumulative 1 in 324 chance of 2 base losses and autobreak for the Reiters, less than 1 in 9 of a single base loss.
Assuming no loss so far.
Swedes now have a choice. Stand and risk the Command Shot getting fragmented by shooting - or charge. As the Reiters don't have Impact Pistol, charge looks right.
Impact
laetta ryttare are 4 dice at 4s vs Kuerassiere who are 4 dice at 4s, re-rolling 1s.
laetta ryttare are 2 dice at 4s vs Reiters who are 2 dice at 5s
Commanded shot are 2 dice at 4s vs Reiters who are 2 dice at 4s.
That looks quite even though skewed distribution could put the laetta ryttare, or Commanded shot in trouble. If the Reiters lose they will get an added -1 on the CT for losing to the Salvo.
Assuming that everyone survives the Impact with no ill effects, the Melee looks like this.
laetta ryttare are 4 dice at 5s vs Kuerassiere who are 4 dice at 4s, re-rolling 1s.
laetta ryttare are 2 dice at 4s vs Reiters who are 2 dice at 4s
Commanded shot are 2 dice at 4s vs Reiters who are 2 dice at 5s.
If the Commanded shot are disrupted the last line becomes
Commanded shot are 2 dice at 4s vs Reiters who are 2 dice at 4s.
If the Commanded shot are fragmented the last line becomes
Commanded shot are 1 dice at 5s vs Reiters who are 2 dice at 4s.
This is why the Swedes have to charge in, I believe. Swedes are not 100% with Commanded Shot.